Netflix's foray into the theatrical world is getting a serious reality check, especially as rumors swirl about a potential acquisition of Warner Bros. Discovery. Talk about a high-stakes gamble! This all comes on the heels of a week with some pretty contrasting cinema results: the lukewarm reception of Rian Johnson's *Wake Up Dead Man: A Knives Out Mystery* versus the buzz building for the *Stranger Things* series finale, set to drop on New Year's Eve. You can almost hear the gears turning at Netflix HQ.
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The reported potential deal with WBD, complete with a promise to really embrace theatrical releases, adds even more pressure. *Wake Up Dead Man*'s performance is definitely under the microscope now. It’s hard to ignore the numbers: just over $4 million grossed over the five-day Thanksgiving holiday. Not exactly a blockbuster start.
To put things in perspective, that $4 million translates to a roughly $6,600 per-theater average. Compare that to *Glass Onion: A Knives Out Mystery* from 2022, which raked in $13.3 million during the same Thanksgiving period, playing in fewer theaters (696) and boasting a $19,000 per-screen average. And let's not forget Lionsgate's original *Knives Out* in 2019, which snagged a whopping $41.4 million over the holiday, eventually reaching $165.3 million domestically and $312.8 million worldwide. Ouch.
Netflix insiders are sticking to the script, claiming *Wake Up Dead Man* received the same 17-day theatrical window as other awards contenders like Guillermo del Toro’s *Frankenstein* (which I'm personally excited to see), Noah Baumbach’s *Jay Kelly*, and Kathryn Bigelow’s *House of Dynamite*. The decision not to give *Wake Up Dead Man* a longer window before its streaming debut supposedly came down to the initial plan for a Thanksgiving theatrical launch, which is traditionally a good time for this franchise.
Interestingly, major theater chains initially only committed to a one-week run for *Glass Onion*, with the possibility of extending. A similar deal is in place for *Wake Up Dead Man*, meaning theaters can keep showing it even after it hits Netflix on December 12th. Word on the street is that the theater count for *Wake Up Dead Man* might actually increase by about 40 this weekend. That's something to keep an eye on.
Back in March 2021, MRC and Trigger Street sold *Knives Out 2* and *3* to Netflix for a cool $400 million during the pandemic. Sources say that the original idea, back when Scott Stuber was still calling the shots, was for *Glass Onion* to be Netflix's grand entrance into full-scale theatrical releases (think over 2,000 theaters). It was meant to usher in a new era. So far, that hasn't quite happened, and Netflix is still hesitant to fully commit to a truly wide 30-day exclusive theatrical release. It remains to be seen if the WBD deal will change that tune.
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